Fantasy Impact - Damon Signing

| No Comments
Photo by Googie Man 11:59, 4 May 2006 . . Goog...

Image via Wikipedia

What will be the fantasy impact of Johnny Damon's 1 year $8 million contract signing with Detroit Tigers?

Damon will most likely take over as the Tigers' lead off hitter and left fielder.  He's essentially replacing Curtis Granderson in the Tigers' lineup.  How will Damon's new home park and teammates affect his fantasy value?  Well Comerica Park is not nearly as homer friendly as Yankee Stadium and the Tigers' lineup is not nearly as potent as the Yanks'.  There is a REAL good chance that both his home run and RBI totals will go down because of this.  I just don't see a repeat performance of his 2009 fantasy production; he'll be decent but be outside the top 100 fantasy players.

From the Tigers' perspective Damon replacing Granderson really is a downgrade all around.  He's going to cost more, has less power, and his defensive capabilities and arm are nowhere near as good (Tiger pitchers will be negatively affected).

Is there any way Damon repeats his 2009 fantasy performance?  I say no ... what do you think?
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]

Fantasy Impact - Halladay, Lee Trade

| No Comments
Roy Halladay

Image via Wikipedia

How will the blockbuster three team trade sending Roy Halladay to the Philles and Cliff Lee to the Mariners affect the Fantasy Baseball World?

Steve's Take:
Roy Halladay's value skyrockets as a result of this deal.  He moves out of the murders row division that is the AL East and onto the '09 NL world series representative.  Pretty Nice!  The Phillies have bats galore, meaning Doc should have plenty of run support.  As of right now Halladay would move up to second on my list of 2010 Starting Pitcher Keepers

Cliff Lee's value doesn't fair nearly as well...  He moves to the AL, to a team that is not as good as the Phillies, and with now has a fraction of the run support.  The one bright spot is that his new home park was a better pitcher park in '09.  This move will cause him to fall out of my top 10 list.

How do you think each guy's fantasy value has changed?
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
Curtis Granderson

Image via Wikipedia

The three team trade that allowed the Yankees to acquire Curtis Granderson has been covered and analyzed by many people.  We've read tons of different opinions on how he will fit into the Yankees lineup and how this trade affects the Yankees ability to repeat as MLB champs. That's great, but we here at Fantasy Prospects are more concerned how this move influences Granderson's Fantasy Value!

Granderson had a weird '09 season; with the exception of his career high 30 HRs, pretty much all his numbers started heading the wrong way.  His '09 AVG of .249 was down 31 points from '08 and 53 points from '07.  He's batting an atrocious .183 AVG against left-handers. Granderson's strikeouts are up and his SLG, OBP, and OPS are all down.  So why did the Yanks go after him and will he be a good fantasy player for 2010?

One reason is because Granderson put up some pretty good numbers in the '07 and '08 seasons.  There's a good chance last season was just an aberration.  His numbers were trending well and they were good enough to make him a top 60 selection in most people's '09 fantasy drafts.  He also seemed to be to be a victim of his own home field, 20 out of his 30 HRs came on the road.  I'm guessing the Yankees are betting on the fact that more than a few of Granderson's fly balls in Comerica Park will turn into HRs in Yankee Stadium.  The Yanks also have the lineup to hide him a bit from lefties; they plan to bat him second against righties and near the bottom of the lineup against southpaws.

So how does this affect his overall fantasy value?  Well this trade doesn't move Granderson into any of our top 10 OF lists but it does keep him in definite keeper consideration.  He's a top 80 player for sure, but we'll have to see how the rest of the offseason moves shake out before he gets our final ranking.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
Mariano Rivera

Image via Wikipedia

We continue in our 2010 Keeper List series.  Today's look at the top fantasy Relief Pitchers is the first Keeper Top Ten list without a consensus #1.... If you've missed our other positional breakdowns, check them out here!

Will's RP List
  1. Mariano Rivera
  2. Joe Nathan
  3. Jonathan Papelbon
  4. Heath Bell
  5. Jonathan Broxton
  6. Francisco Rodriguez
  7. Francisco Cordero
  8. Brian Fuentes
  9. Joakim Soria
  10. Brian Wilson
Will's Take:  At some point his reign must end, but at 39 Mo Rivera keeps churning out the saves and has the team to give him opportunities to get saves in 2010.  Put Nathan, Papelbon or Bell on the Yankees and they are at the top of the list, but until that time they are 2-4.  Broxton is #5 despite having stretches in the season where he implodes.  K-Rod with a whip of 1.309 is shaky.  With the amount of close games the Angeles are in Brian Fuentes led the league in saves.  With a better team behind him Brian Wilson will shoot up the list.  Saves are all about opportunities, get a guy on a good team and your good to go.

Steve's RP List
  1. Joe Nathan
  2. Mariano Rivera
  3. Jonathan Papelbon
  4. Jonathan Broxton
  5. Joakim Soria
  6. Francisco Rodriguez
  7. Brian Fuentes
  8. Huston Street
  9. Francisco Cordero
  10. Ryan Franklin
Steve's Take: I have a general rule about not paying a lot for closers.  Whether that is drafting one in the early rounds or using a keeper selection, it's just not something I like to do.  With the unpredictability of the position it's very hard to justify a high pick.  With that being said, Nathan is really the only reliever I would even consider keeping.  There are no indications that Rivera's skills are going anywhere ... but his age and his home ballpark really scare me.  Papelbon, Broxton, and Fuentes are solid pitchers on solid teams.  Soria is a great pitcher on a not so great team.  K-Rod needs the Mets' bats to heal up.  Street had a really good '09, hopefully he can have a repeat performance.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
Tim Lincecum

Image via Wikipedia

We continue in our 2010 Keeper List series.  Today we feature the top Fantasy Starting Pitchers.  Not only are these guys keepers, they're guys you can build your team around.  Make sure you check out our other Positional Rankings as well.

Will's SP List
  1. Tim Lincecum
  2. Zack Greinke
  3. Roy Halladay
  4. Felix Hernandez
  5. Dan Haren
  6. CC Sabathia
  7. Johan Santana
  8. Chris Carpenter
  9. Justin Verlander
  10. Jon Lester
Will's Take:  Being left handed, 25 years old and averaging 263 K's over the last two years puts Tim Lincecum at the top of the starting pitching heap.  He's young, he's filthy, and he's the total package.  Right behind him is Greinke, he's just a year older and had a better ERA (2.16) then Lincecum (2.48), but is on an awful team.  "Doc" Halladay is 3rd on my list with 9 CG's and 4 shutouts, if he's traded to a national league team he shoots to #1.  Winning almost 80% of his starts and being 24 years old with over 200 SO's puts King Felix at #4.  Looks like the Mariners are going to put more money into the team which should help Hernandez.  Dan Haren is 5th despite being on a horrible team and winning less then 60% of his games.  The Diamondbacks can't get any worse and he plays in the NL West, the best pitchers parks in the league.  The Park hurts CC, at #6, but he has showing he can overcome, plus he is destined to have a lot of wins with the offense the Yankee's posses.  Despite injury coming in at 7 is Johan Santana, I look for him to rebound from injury and have a great 2010, but he needs the Mets to get some bats this offseason to get the W's.  Chris Carpenter is nasty at #8, he is almost unhittable, but is an injury risk.  Verlander is 9th, I'm calling his 2008 an aberration.  Rounding out the top 10 is Jon Lester; His only downfall is he plays in the brutal AL East.  Bottom line is if you have 2 of these guys you will have a good chance for fantasy success and at the very least guys that are desirable for trades.

Steve's SP List
  1. Tim Lincecum
  2. Zack Greinke
  3. Felix Hernandez
  4. CC Sabathia
  5. Johan Santana
  6. Roy Halladay
  7. Dan Haren
  8. Chris Carpenter
  9. Jon Lester
  10. Cliff Lee
Steve's Take: Lincecum, Greinke, and Hernandez were not only the top three fantasy pitchers last year, they're all young and will be fantasy studs for years to come.  They are the perfect types of guys to build your fantasy team around.  CC is in the prime of his career on the best team in the league.  I'm confident Johan and the rest of the Mets will rebound from their disappointing '09 season.  Like Will said Halladay's value is really tied to where he is pitching next season.  Being number six on the list is really a worst case scenario.  Put him on a contender and the sky is the limit.  I think we'll see the '08 version of Cliff Lee in 2010, a full season with the Phils will work wonders for him.  Verlander just missed my list mostly because I see him as a feast or famine guy.  He has the potential to finish in the top 3 or he could finish way out of the top 10.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
Joe Mauer

Image via Wikipedia

We continue in our 2010 Keeper List series.  Today we look at Fantasy Catchers.  Be sure to check out our other positional rankings as well.

Will's Catcher List
  1. Joe Mauer
  2. Brian McCann
  3. Victor Martinez
  4. Matt Wieters
  5. Jorge Posada
  6. Russell Martin
  7. Buster Posey
  8. Kurt Suzuki
  9. Chris Iannetta
  10. Mike Napoli
Will's Take:  Every year catchers are one of the scarcest commodities, this year is no different.  Reigning MVP Joe Mauer coming off an injury shortened 2009 hitting .365 with 28 HRs and 96 RBI's is the clear #1 guy here.  McCann and Martinez are really close.  I gave the edge to McCann based on his age, but one could go with Martinez for his versatility.  Weiters is the young guy to have as a keeper.  He has a big bat; he never hit below .300 and hit about 30 bombs in the minors.  Posada came off an injury filled 2008 and had a productive year.  He could be more productive in 2010 since he should be able stay away from bumps and bruises by being used more in the DH role.  This is a make or break year for Russell Martin.  He had a terrible year in 09'.  Maybe the amount of games behind the plate has taken its toll as his stolen base total was not on par with his norm.  Though he may not get the job out of spring training, Buster Posey is another up and coming kid behind the dish.  Last year he hit in the 20's for HR's and posted a batting average will above .300. The rest on the list are solid guys.  A bounce back candidate would be Geovany Soto.  Yadier Molina is a solid late draft guy.

Steve's Catcher List
  1. Joe Mauer
  2. Victor Martinez
  3. Brian McCann
  4. Jorge Posada
  5. Matt Wieters
  6. Miguel Montero
  7. Russell Martin
  8. Chris Iannetta
  9. Kurt Suzuki
  10. Mike Napoli
Steve's Take: I tend to treat Catchers as a luxury item.  This year only the top two guys are without a doubt worth one of those precious keeper spots.  Mauer's numbers speak for themselves and Martinez's numbers and positional versatility make him nearly priceless as well.  McCann and Posada are great players who I'd be tempted to draft fairly early or who might make it as a 5th or 6th keeper depending on the rest of my team.  Wieters and Montero are good young players with lots of upside.  Will is right about Big Russ, he needs to bounce back in a big way from last year's horrible fantasy showing.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]

Signing Alert: Billy Wagner

| No Comments
Billy Wagner

Image via Wikipedia

The Atlanta Braves have solidified the ninth inning by signing Billy Wagner today to be their closer for the 2010 season.  Wagner had elbow surgery in September of 2008 so at age 37 he is an injury risk.  With Wagner hitting 97 on the gun in his return in late 2009, he is destined to produce.  Over his great career Wagner has completed 86.1% of his save chances.  In 2009 the braves had 59 save chances.  Calculated out that means about 40 saves for Wagner which is just what he needs to be the all-time leader in saves for a left hander.  Certainly a later round target on draft day.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]

2011 Free Agents

| No Comments
The guys over at MLBTradeRumors.com have put together a useful list of players who will be free agents after the the 2010 season.  These are the guys who this year will be playing their butts off for their next contract.

Contract year players have an incredible knack of playing above and beyond their normal level...

What 2011 Free Agents do you see having "Monster Years"?


Ryan Braun

Image via Wikipedia

We continue in our 2010 Keeper List series.  Outfielders are one of the most productive fantasy positions.  You need to make sure you get the right ones, here are our top ten lists of fantasy OF'ers.

Will's OF List
  1. Ryan Braun
  2. Matt Kemp
  3. Justin Upton
  4. Matt Holiday
  5. Grady Sizemore
  6. Jason Bay
  7. Carl Crawford
  8. Josh Hamilton
  9. Ichiro Suzuki
  10. Carlos Beltran
Will's Take:  There is a clear seperation between the top two in the OF and the rest in the position.  Braun bursted on the scene in 07' and has been golden ever since putting on a big league uni.  He has never hit under 30 hrs and has a career BA of .308, certainly my #1.  Matt Kemp is a 5 tool player.  He can do it all and is only getting better.  The power is coming, look out for Kemp for several years to come.  Nobody in the rest of the group distinguishes themseleves.  They are all very good players, but you'd be just as happy with #3 as with #10.  Hamilton is a big risk big reward player, I'm a buyer.  You may want to move Jacoby Ellsbury up in your list if steals are worth a lot, but I prefer more power.

Steve's OF List
  1. Ryan Braun
  2. Matt Kemp
  3. Jason Bay
  4. Matt Holiday
  5. Carl Crawford
  6. Grady Sizemore
  7. Ichiro Suzuki
  8. Justin Upton
  9. Jacoby Ellsbury
  10. Andrew McCutchen
Steve's Take: Ryan Braun is the king of the fantasy Outfielders until somebody knocks him of the throne, this could be the year that Matt Kemp takes it but we'll have to wait and see.  Both Bay and Holiday are Free Agents and their value will be affected by what team signs them and which ball park they are playing in everyday.  Regardless of where they sign those two should put up solid numbers.  Crawford and Ellsbury steal a ton of bases so their value goes up and down based on how important steals are in your league format.  Sizemore needs to rebound from a season where injuries hampered his production.  Upton and McCutchen are young stud players just beginning to hit their fantasy stride.  Adam Lind, Adam Jones, and Carlos Beltran are guys who just missed making my list.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
{{Information |Description = |Source = I creat...

Image via Wikipedia

We continue in our 2010 Keeper List series.  Shortstops are the discussion of the day.  Be sure and check out our 1B ,2B, and 3B lists as well.

Will's SS List
  1. Hanley Ramirez
  2. Jose Reyes
  3. Jimmy Rollins
  4. Troy Tulowitzki
  5. Derek Jeter
  6. Stephen Drew
  7. Yunel Escobar
  8. Jason Bartlett
  9. Rafael Furcal
  10. Alcides Escobar
Will's Take:  SS position is deeper then years past, but you still need to get one of the top 8 - 10 guys to be happy with the position.  If you get one of the top 5 you will have an elite player with a lot of trade value.  With a .342 BA Hanley Ramirez is certainly the top SS and one of the best all around players again this year.  Reyes is coming off of an injury riddled 2009, keep an eye on his steals during spring training to see if his hamstring is back to 100%, if not unload him while he still has high value.  Jimmy Rollins has been ice cold to start the last two years and white hot during the second half of the season, but as long as his overall numbers remain steady, he's my guy at #3.  Tulowitski had a fantastic year with 32 hrs and just below a .300 BA, he's a solid 4.  Jeter is old man river, the ball park helped him this year, at some point he has to slow down, right?  If steals are big in your lead grab Alcides Escobar and stay away from Furcal.

Steve's SS List
  1. Hanley Ramirez
  2. Jose Reyes
  3. Derek Jeter
  4. Jimmy Rollins
  5. Troy Tulowitzki
  6. Marco Scutaro
  7. Jason Bartlett
  8. Stephen Drew
  9. Yunel Escobar
  10. Rafael Furcal
Steve's Take: Hanley Ramirez has lived up to the hype, making him the clear #1 shortstop.  Reyes is a bit of a risk (he only played 36 games last year and had leg surgery in the offseason) but his upside keeps at #2 on my list.  Jeter and Rollins both had good years but Jimmy's age and tendency to start slowly worries me just a bit.  Tulowitzki, Scutaro, and Bartlett need to have repeats of last year to move up to the level of the fantasy big boys.
Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
<< 1 2

Recent Comments

  • mccurdyjoe: Jimmy killed me last year. I drafted him in the read more
  • mccurdyjoe: Cabrera scares me. Not sure how committed to baseball he read more

Stories By Position